Early-Shaw
0xcccc9b04dc40018e8d7be4a064c324992ac5d833
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
186
Open notional
$0.26
Total PnL
$-396.79
Realised
$-0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.26
$-1.03
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
131 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
118 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
103 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?
73 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1AM ET
57 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET
49 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$2.05Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$4.29Jun 13, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$7.68Jun 13, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$1.03Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 13, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$1.83Jun 13, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$1.03Jun 12, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$19.09Jun 12, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$1.03Jun 12, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$2.75Jun 12, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-02?$10.27Jun 3, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET$1.06Jun 2, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET$2.11Jun 2, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$2.21Jun 2, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET$2.11Jun 2, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET$2.11Jun 2, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET$1.05Jun 2, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET$2.10Jun 2, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.05Jun 2, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.05Jun 2, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 20:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.