Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-794.78

Realised

$-69.85

Win rate

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on April 19?
581 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026
$0.00
$-1.60
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
257 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
250 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026
$0.00
$-10.26
YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on April 20?
218 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026
$0.00
$-3.24
YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 19?
154 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026
$0.00
$-1.30
YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 20?
146 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026
$0.00
$-1.45
YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 20?
140 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026
$0.00
$-2.15
YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 20?
130 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026
$0.00
$-2.14
YES
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-03?
87 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026
$0.00
$-49.59
YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 19?
72 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026
$0.00
$-2.15

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$3.20Apr 28, 03:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$2.90Apr 28, 03:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$4.02Apr 28, 03:05 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$5.87Apr 28, 03:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$3.05Apr 28, 02:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$4.14Apr 28, 02:50 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$4.84Apr 28, 02:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$3.78Apr 28, 02:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$4.89Apr 28, 02:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$2.80Apr 28, 02:35 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$4.87Apr 28, 02:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$3.60Apr 28, 02:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$3.45Apr 28, 02:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$3.15Apr 28, 02:20 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.86Apr 28, 02:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$2.90Apr 28, 02:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$4.08Apr 28, 02:10 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$4.84Apr 28, 02:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$4.87Apr 28, 01:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$2.80Apr 28, 01:55 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity38 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry85 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk45 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 31
Avg trade size: $3.27
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 27, 23:10 UTC
Last active: Apr 28, 03:20 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:32:43 UTC·src:Polymarket Data