Trivial-Ravioli
0xccd81fbd3395dc43a0531f8484b21c2462daf4de
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$143.2K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
145554 shares @ 86.9¢·now 85.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$124.1K
$-2.4K
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
10711 shares @ 94.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.5K
$370.15
- NO
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
4798 shares @ 94.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.5K
$-68.39
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
2420 shares @ 92.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$2.2K
$-25.30
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
1091 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$943.72
$-5.45
- YES
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
628 shares @ 95.7¢·now 90.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$565.43
$-35.44
- YES
Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
236 shares @ 94.0¢·now 90.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$213.93
$-7.91
- DETROIT TIGERS
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
217 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$146.74
$-1.09
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
288 shares @ 51.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$15.86
$-131.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers$150.19Jul 23, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees$0.00Jul 23, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners$0.00Jul 23, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Houston Astros$0.00Jul 23, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMEstoril Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderi$3.3KJul 23, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves$6.0KJul 23, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$297.48Jul 23, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$126.79Jul 23, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$8.83Jul 23, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderi$313.65Jul 23, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderi$680.66Jul 23, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderi$2.1KJul 23, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves$5.1KJul 23, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$26.85Jul 23, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$137.54Jul 23, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$61.72Jul 23, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$231.82Jul 23, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$6.44Jul 23, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$150.71Jul 23, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$50.98Jul 23, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$353.7K
Trades
3
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 13, 07:30 UTC → Jul 7, 08:04 UTC
- BUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$36.1K@88¢Jun 21, 21:54 UTC
- BUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$41.5K@98¢Jun 15, 06:46 UTC
- BUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$11.1K@94¢Jun 14, 04:41 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
medium
12 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
$68.1K · 19% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $292.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 10:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 20:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.