Thankful-Guacamole
0xccdda67a0cd3dde9e15379cdf87c36c9172e516c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-252.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?
3825 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.64
- YES
Will Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
2503 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.06
- YES
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
705 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.02
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
540 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.22
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
500 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-52.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$0.07Jan 26, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$29.48Jan 25, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$4.02Jan 25, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$0.12Jan 24, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$1.30Jan 24, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$1.30Jan 24, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$1.54Jan 24, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$0.07Jan 23, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$1.32Jan 23, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$2.92Jan 23, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$0.13Jan 22, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$6.51Jan 22, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$2.10Jan 22, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$2.10Jan 22, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$0.11Jan 22, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$11.08Jan 22, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.02Jan 22, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.52Jan 22, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.24Jan 22, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.10Jan 22, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 03:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 16:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".