Deadly-Fort
0xcd003524a5a2bd106fac6650e703ed8918dd2897
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$88.31
Total PnL
$-93.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?
74 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$74.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.48
$-0.08
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
8 shares @ 48.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.36
$-0.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?
1286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 19?
724 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 9?
715 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 24?
681 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 20-26?
678 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 22?
668 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?
654 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?$74.00Jul 10, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$74.07Jul 10, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$74.00Jun 26, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek$8.20Jun 26, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$13.71Jun 26, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on May 30?$14.89Jun 26, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$37.37Jun 26, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$37.33May 31, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek$2.51May 31, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$39.84May 31, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$39.77May 30, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$10.56May 30, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$49.93May 30, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$50.01May 30, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$49.93May 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$50.01May 30, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$50.47May 30, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$50.37May 29, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on May 30?$14.85May 29, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$65.23May 29, 10:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $60.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.