Agile-Ground
0xcd026bf7d513452d30998e0e12818b1941f26295
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$13.52
Total PnL
$-11.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.56
$2.56
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-1.12
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Woke" or "DEI" during WEF Address on January 21?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$3.57Apr 21, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 22, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$5.00Jan 22, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Jensen Huang in January?$2.56Jan 22, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India join the Board of Peace?$1.00Jan 22, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?$1.00Jan 22, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.00Jan 22, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$2.00Jan 22, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?$4.35Jan 22, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?$2.00Jan 21, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?$2.00Jan 21, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Woke" or "DEI" during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?$2.00Jan 21, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 be released on January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$3.00Jan 21, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Jensen Huang in January?$2.00Jan 21, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$5.00Jan 21, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 23:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.