0xcd04b02b0fc9e6a19c83eb319f1be741e90492cb
0xcd04b02b0fc9e6a19c83eb319f1be741e90492cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$39.51
Total PnL
$-62.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
11 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$11.27
$0.27
- NO
Will there be another debate?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$6.41
$1.41
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$5.43
$0.92
- NO
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$5.12
$0.12
- NO
James Norton announced as next James Bond?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$5.02
$0.02
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
73 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-33.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
41 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
13 shares @ 86.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.00Nov 4, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$4.51Oct 25, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure by October 31?$0.00Oct 25, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?$4.18Oct 25, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?$4.30Oct 25, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?$5.26Oct 25, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMAnnual inflation above 2.2% in September?$10.77Oct 25, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?$4.24Oct 6, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?$4.00Oct 6, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Oct 6, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill $BTC reach 80k before October?$5.01Oct 6, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMRabby airdrop by September 30?$5.05Oct 6, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMZircuit airdrop by September 30?$8.18Oct 6, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYZircuit airdrop by September 30?$7.93Sep 24, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRabby airdrop by September 30?$5.00Sep 24, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$11.00Sep 24, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$11.00Sep 24, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$11.00Sep 24, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$1.00Sep 24, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Norton announced as next James Bond?$5.00Sep 24, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $7.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 19:26 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".