Esteemed-Stump
0xcd0ac2e8c7fd711e27ea91a473710add3d72d7f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-491.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
7143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?
4454 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
1667 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
161 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-41.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $41.98Feb 20, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$50.00Feb 20, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreens win over 15% of vote in German election? $50.00Feb 20, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$100.00Feb 20, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?$100.00Feb 20, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $150.00Feb 20, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $82.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 14:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".