Ugly-Piglet
0xcd141c13dd32d7705a6e3eefa4f098b255771481
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$50.45
Total PnL
$-183.41
Realised
$46.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.04
$4.04
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.41
$0.41
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.11
$-1.89
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.09
$-3.91
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?
158 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
119 shares @ 4.2¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.86
$-2.14
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.43
$-2.57
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$5.00Apr 30, 19:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $7.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".