Jaded-Polish
0xcd142eeca95bbc14aaa64040a431bc1bc31aac6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$70.00
Total PnL
$-126.42
Realised
$-1.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Macron out in 2025?
50 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$50.00
$4.00
- NO
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
20 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$0.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 5PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6PM ET
93 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-23.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 29, 10AM ET
80 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
50 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 29, 11AM ET
30 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 12PM ET
30 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-18.90
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 29, 11AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
OpenAI social app in 2025?
11 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$30.09Oct 30, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$7.14Oct 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$5.00Oct 11, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser by September 30?$33.90Oct 10, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 27, 11AM ET$0.01Oct 10, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$10.60Sep 7, 11:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Sep 7, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3PM ET$0.00Sep 6, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US recognize Palestine in 2025?$19.20Sep 6, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - September 6, 3AM ET$5.10Sep 6, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 6, 3AM ET$4.70Sep 6, 07:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Sep 6, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3PM ET$50.00Sep 5, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3PM ET$49.00Sep 5, 19:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Sep 5, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7PM ET$40.00Sep 4, 07:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Sep 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7PM ET$39.20Sep 3, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ET$10.00Sep 3, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ET$8.10Sep 3, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $26.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 30, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 20:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".