Fluffy-Calcification
0xcd1c68c53242dae906cccd759e96ca1794f7a6b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$134.92
Total PnL
$-980.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
562 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.27
$-55.62
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
183 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.86
$-14.13
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
225 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.79
$-19.21
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
25000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
2180 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1263 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
974 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
714 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
666 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-36.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$5.00Mar 23, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$10.00Mar 23, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$11.43Mar 23, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$10.00Mar 23, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$24.00Feb 19, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$96.24Feb 19, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$128.93Feb 19, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "What's Up" this week? (February 22)$159.96Feb 14, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$100.00Feb 14, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$101.00Feb 14, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$100.00Feb 14, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$344.00Feb 14, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$20.00Jan 20, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$14.29Jan 16, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT ads by March 31?$20.00Jan 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 16, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 16, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$182.68Jan 16, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$160.76Jan 15, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$98.41Jan 13, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $54.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 19:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 12:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".