Vain-Shakedown
0xcd1d7d849282afdd3cda242cafa5c99a749f6542
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-226.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
1990 shares @ 22.6¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$477.65
$27.65
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2469 shares @ 8.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$208.64
$8.64
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1852 shares @ 10.8¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$199.07
$-0.92
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2941 shares @ 6.8¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$195.59
$-4.41
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2196 shares @ 13.7¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$42.81
$-257.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$257.70Jun 15, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$450.00Jun 15, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$206.23Jun 15, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$205.35Jun 15, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$205.59Jun 15, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$205.51Jun 15, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$500.00Jun 15, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$300.00Jun 15, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.69Jun 15, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.93Jun 15, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00Jun 15, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25Jun 15, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $196.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 05:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.