Lawful-Flag
0xcd2c39de59fe72d22fc83878e3b06d5642982f9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$29.72
Total PnL
$-1.20
Realised
$-0.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
11 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.82
$-0.01
- NO
David Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$3.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.46
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Xi visit the US by December 31?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
3 shares @ 75.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Nov 14, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$303.48Nov 13, 06:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Nov 13, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDavid Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?$5.00Nov 12, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$11.00Nov 12, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$3.00Nov 12, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$309.61Nov 12, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$321.89Nov 12, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$323.68Nov 12, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?$1.06Nov 12, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?$1.16Nov 12, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?$1.00Sep 24, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi visit the US by December 31?$1.00Sep 24, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$1.00Sep 24, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?$1.00Sep 24, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$2.21Sep 24, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$2.04Sep 24, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?$1.30Sep 24, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$2.50Sep 24, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved before August?$3.11Sep 24, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $37.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 08:30 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.