0xcd2d383c35c05c4576e3ae81455c0c3265705e97
0xcd2d383c35c05c4576e3ae81455c0c3265705e97
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-122.34
Realised
$76.60
Win rate
2%
194 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- AMIRKHAMZA NASRIDINOV
ITF Wuning: Amirkhamza Nasridinov vs Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- KIWOOM HEROES
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wiz
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: NK Celje 1 - 3 KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–$2.75 in June?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: FC Drita 2 - 3 Floriana FC?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Sabah FK 2 - 3 Kuopion PS?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- JAMAICA
Canada vs. Jamaica
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Tōkyō Verdy 0 - 1 Kashiwa Reysol?$1.04Aug 13, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Philadelphia Union vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?$1.00Aug 13, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia Union vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?$1.04Aug 13, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$1.48Aug 13, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Puebla win on 2026-08-12?$1.04Aug 12, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?$1.30Aug 12, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?$1.04Aug 12, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?$1.01Aug 12, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD Nacional win on 2026-08-10?$0.00Aug 11, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Londrina EC win on 2026-08-10?$0.00Aug 11, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Nacional win on 2026-08-10?$1.04Aug 10, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5$1.23Aug 10, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPlymouth Argyle FC vs. Exeter City FC: O/U 1.5$1.04Aug 10, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Diego FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5$1.00Aug 10, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$1.03Aug 10, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: América de Cali 1 - 1 Atlético Nacional?$1.00Aug 10, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5$1.04Aug 10, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLChicago Fire FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5$1.00Aug 10, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha end in a draw?$1.04Aug 10, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-09?$1.00Aug 10, 00:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 194 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
194 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 14:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 23:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 194 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.