Primary-Promenade
0xcd307c607e8121e93c5268d933c48cb4f6959b77
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donovan Mitchell win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$1.48Feb 18, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.48Feb 18, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$0.00Feb 18, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMLeicester City wins the Premier League?$0.00Feb 18, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoffenheim win the UEFA Europa League?$0.00Feb 18, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.00Feb 18, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jay Clayton be Trump's Attorney General?$0.00Feb 18, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jan Topić win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $2.23Jan 28, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoffenheim win the UEFA Europa League?$2.22Jan 28, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Clayton be Trump's Attorney General?$2.22Jan 28, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$2.22Jan 28, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Giddey lead the NBA in Assists?$1.89Jan 28, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another party win the second most seats in the next German election?$1.51Jan 28, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in scoring?$1.50Jan 28, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jayson Tatum win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$1.37Jan 28, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?$1.36Jan 28, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Torino win the Serie A?$1.25Jan 28, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Torino win the Serie A?$1.88Jan 25, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Giddey lead the NBA in Assists?$2.06Jan 25, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the second most seats in the next German election?$2.02Jan 25, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 20:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.