Voluminous-Insurance
0xcd365a17dbeacf9270b633442f1a82cc034436cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
13096 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
12514 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
1089 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
788 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
349 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case by July 31?
342 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.76
- YES
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
133 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-44.01
- YES
Will China join the Board of Peace?
82 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$34.01Jan 30, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$23.33Jan 30, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$20.00Jan 30, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$20.00Jan 26, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$5.00Jan 26, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$10.00Jan 25, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China join the Board of Peace?$5.00Jan 25, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$60.04Oct 9, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$134.00Oct 9, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$89.03Sep 2, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$719.54Aug 18, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.0KAug 8, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$3.73Aug 8, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$3.73Aug 8, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$4.27Aug 8, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$4.28Aug 8, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$74.39Aug 7, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$161.89Aug 2, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$41.75Aug 1, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$12.64Aug 1, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $83.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 05:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.