0xcd41f2f81a6b1d1c8483eb2fd454b0f05018eea2
0xcd41f2f81a6b1d1c8483eb2fd454b0f05018eea2
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$280.86
Total PnL
$-678.91
Realised
$325.22
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4780 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$255.71
$-2.39
- YES
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
751 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$25.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the December meeting?
737 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
526 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-44.25
- YES
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in May?
480 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?
467 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India"?
461 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-36.45
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
447 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-133.42
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
418 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-253.64
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in August?
410 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-7.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.33Jun 5, 08:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$25.73Jun 4, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$257.09Jun 4, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$15.71May 7, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$1.75Apr 22, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$7.00Apr 22, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$7.58Apr 21, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 21, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$2.55Apr 21, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$4.10Apr 21, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$8.07Apr 15, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$6.86Apr 15, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$6.69Apr 15, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 15, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$40.05Feb 10, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$7.80Feb 9, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$16.00Feb 9, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $23.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".