Thrifty-Brow
0xcd4b91ffb66511c20d92f9f8a257247b15408aa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$19.7K
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-832.40
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
19699 shares @ 89.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.7K
$2.0K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
39335 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-392.41
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
28602 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
17057 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-293.21
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?
1781 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-798.99
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?
1335 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-206.74
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Predators
1000 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-570.00
- LOUISVILLE
Clemson vs. Louisville
750 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-412.50
- STARS
Islanders vs. Stars
500 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-315.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?$42.26May 26, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?$210.00May 25, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$26.40May 21, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$116.10May 21, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$143.10May 21, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?$53.58May 21, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?$188.43May 21, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$7.12May 21, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$7.12May 21, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$25.81May 20, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$113.03May 19, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$113.03May 19, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$178.00May 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$178.00May 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$15.13May 19, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$195.86May 18, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$8.82May 18, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$8.82May 18, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$30.47May 18, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$2.2KMay 18, 00:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 22:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.