Messy-Earring
0xcd4f7cc951d2b57f291f307c62de6304a7137b9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$19.47
Total PnL
$-2.97
Realised
$-0.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
10 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$6.93
$0.01
- NO
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Vaccine for new COVID disease in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Charlie Hook win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$518.96Oct 23, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$526.40Oct 22, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$10.00Oct 22, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Hook win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$3.00Oct 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?$2.01Oct 22, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?$2.00Sep 26, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYVaccine for new COVID disease in 2025?$1.00Sep 26, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$1.00Sep 26, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.01Sep 26, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.02Sep 26, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?$2.06Sep 26, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces in Gaza before April?$0.00Apr 2, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say 'inflation' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?$0.00Apr 2, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces in Gaza before April?$2.11Apr 2, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say 'inflation' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?$2.19Apr 2, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'inflation' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?$2.00Mar 2, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?$2.00Mar 2, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.00Mar 2, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.00Mar 2, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?$1.06Mar 2, 04:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $29.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 13:11 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 23, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.