Likely-Neck
0xcd5558b285ffb16bc9ff7c45ee07862a23ef5582
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
113
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$1.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
9851 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-111.90
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?
3587 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-108.92
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
923 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-59.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
883 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-585.45
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-171.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
570 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-16.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
521 shares @ 76.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-396.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$39.24Apr 3, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$39.26Apr 3, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$31.41Apr 3, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$31.46Apr 3, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$24.83Apr 3, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$24.85Apr 3, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.00Apr 3, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$0.00Apr 3, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$21.13Apr 3, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.00Apr 3, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$21.13Apr 3, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.00Apr 3, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.00Apr 3, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$17.15Apr 3, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.00Apr 3, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$17.15Apr 3, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$16.19Apr 3, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$16.19Apr 3, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$13.14Apr 3, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$0.00Apr 3, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $61.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 03:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".