Tender-Anterior
0xcd5af8372a943034b65fdac6ef39ceb7826bf7a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.6K
Realised
$-196.26
Win rate
44%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2597 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-34.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?
2000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
1801 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-699.31
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
1473 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-558.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
1451 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.71
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
1295 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-418.47
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?
1033 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-246.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5?
822 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-280.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
750 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.49Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$3.60Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$9.35Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$50.41Jun 12, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?$13.07Jun 12, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?$125.54Jun 12, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?$40.56Jun 11, 21:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.15Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$319.74Jun 9, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?$145.47Jun 9, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?$192.00Jun 9, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?$203.31Jun 9, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$45.61Jun 9, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$163.60Jun 9, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$1.88Jun 9, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$131.14Jun 9, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$424.04Jun 8, 01:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.00Jun 7, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.33Jun 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$67.98Jun 6, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $80.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.