Exalted-Guide
0xcd5e97d28ad8cdd535be0069a2912c42966ecc03
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-952.10
Realised
$-8.04
Win rate
6%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
179 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
100 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-54.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
75 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-41.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
50 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
50 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$7.50Aug 19, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$33.75Aug 19, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$33.75Aug 19, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$84.00Aug 19, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$13.39Aug 19, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$62.60Aug 19, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$8.00Aug 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$11.12Aug 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.01Aug 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.20Aug 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.67Aug 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$16.00Aug 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$49.99Aug 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.01Aug 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$6.60Aug 19, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.01Aug 19, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$53.39Aug 19, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$35.44Aug 19, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.10Aug 19, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$36.59Aug 19, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
33 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.