Careful-Octave
0xcd7271b4d0e1204f14b832dff9d63df87e914a1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-146.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?
1945 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-119.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
83 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?$31.54Apr 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?$112.80Apr 7, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$103.03Apr 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$230.00Apr 5, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Apr 3, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?$2.91Apr 1, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 28, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?$27.60Mar 28, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$238.62Mar 28, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$4.50Mar 21, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$127.00Mar 21, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?$119.00Mar 6, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?$2.60Mar 2, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$329.03Feb 28, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$145.00Feb 28, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEM Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$0.00Jan 27, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMMajor cyberattack on Iran in June?$0.00Jan 27, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMHouthi strike on Israel by August 31?$0.00Jan 27, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei seen in public before July?$0.00Jan 27, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Yemen 3 times by September 30?$0.00Jan 27, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $57.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 17:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 10:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.