Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-17.0K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 84

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
651 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025
$0.00
$-325.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
615 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025
$0.00
$-307.50
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
612 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025
$0.00
$-306.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
592 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025
$0.00
$-296.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
541 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025
$0.00
$-270.50
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
539 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025
$0.00
$-269.50
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
535 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025
$0.00
$-267.50
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
532 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025
$0.00
$-266.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
531 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025
$0.00
$-265.50
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
531 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025
$0.00
$-265.25

Recent activity

REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$1.10Nov 13, 07:03 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$1.10Nov 10, 06:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$479.00Oct 31, 04:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$511.00Oct 31, 04:32 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$660.00Oct 31, 04:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$715.00Oct 31, 04:32 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$745.00Oct 31, 04:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$27.50Oct 31, 03:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$330.00Oct 31, 03:43 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$330.00Oct 31, 03:42 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$372.50Oct 31, 03:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$321.00Oct 31, 03:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$4.50Oct 31, 03:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$492.00Oct 31, 03:36 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$499.00Oct 31, 03:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$39.45Oct 31, 03:07 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.85Oct 31, 03:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$3.85Oct 31, 03:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$3.30Oct 31, 03:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$4.10Oct 31, 03:05 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry99 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk58 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 34
Avg trade size: $177.24
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 30, 09:04 UTC
Last active: Nov 13, 07:03 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:13:34 UTC·src:Polymarket Data