0xcd7861b4aceb471254a71281978857f0e2ea8b95
0xcd7861b4aceb471254a71281978857f0e2ea8b95
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-67.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?
200 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-27.30
- YES
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?
36 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $107K on July 1 at 5PM ET?
21 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-9.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1 at 5PM ET?
21 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.31
- YES
Will the Reconciliation bill receive 219 or more votes?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the Reconciliation bill receive 215–216 votes?
20 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will the Reconciliation bill receive fewer than 213 votes?
20 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the Reconciliation bill receive 213–214 votes?
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
10 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?
10 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June? $10.00Jul 20, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reconciliation bill receive 217–218 votes?$20.00Jul 20, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serhou Guirassy score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harry Kane score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembélé score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vinicius Junior score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$5.50Jul 2, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serhou Guirassy score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$10.00Jul 2, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$15.00Jul 2, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$5.00Jul 2, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$8.00Jul 2, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reconciliation bill receive 219 or more votes?$2.20Jul 2, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reconciliation bill receive fewer than 213 votes?$4.40Jul 2, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reconciliation bill receive 217–218 votes?$4.00Jul 2, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reconciliation bill receive 213–214 votes?$2.40Jul 2, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reconciliation bill receive 215–216 votes?$5.40Jul 2, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on July 1 at 5PM ET?$21.00Jul 2, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$2.80Jul 2, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serhou Guirassy score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$4.00Jul 2, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$2.20Jul 2, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $7.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 13:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".