Measly-Desert
0xcd78f03125798e387bdda5e0068bcc3197a88b60
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$12.35
Total PnL
$-213.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.64
$-0.36
- YES
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.26
$-6.74
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
526 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?
342 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.00Jun 8, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 2, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?$5.00Jun 1, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$50.00May 28, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00May 28, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$76.92May 26, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$5.00May 23, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 22, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.00May 22, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump kiss by May 31?$10.40May 22, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$20.00May 22, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$5.00May 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$15.00May 11, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$3.00May 11, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$5.00May 11, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$29.41May 1, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$10.00Apr 26, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?$4.00Apr 19, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?$61.21Apr 19, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $14.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 08:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 10:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.