Cluttered-Raincoat
0xcd81d21cfa19968933d6cb70a8a52c9585c33770
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.1K
Total PnL
$2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?
8093 shares @ 70.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.1K
$2.4K
- YES
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?
300 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-107.04
- YES
James Comey arrested by October 31?
179 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
132 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.05?$900.00Jan 26, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.05?$200.00Jan 26, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.05?$300.00Jan 26, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.05?$4.0KJan 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.05?$49.00Jan 26, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.05?$243.79Jan 26, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$58.14Jan 26, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?$58.82Jan 26, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$120.48Jan 26, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$164.64Jan 26, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.2KJan 26, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$2.4KJan 26, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$2.0KNov 4, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.0KOct 15, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$126.78Oct 15, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$107.04Oct 15, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$662.00Oct 15, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$180.61Oct 15, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$50.00Oct 15, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$100.00Oct 15, 08:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $320.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 19:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.