Hard-Barbecue
0xcd95f5a99444f0dc96dc35eef8f75330450a2c78
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-604.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?
2642 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-341.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.87
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
600 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
200 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
110 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2PM ET
110 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 10?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$29.83Mar 16, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$29.83Mar 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$26.59Mar 16, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$0.19Mar 11, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$0.21Mar 11, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$0.57Mar 11, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$0.02Mar 11, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.74Mar 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.04Mar 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.04Mar 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.96Mar 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$2.00Mar 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.03Mar 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.26Mar 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.04Mar 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.04Mar 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.20Mar 11, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 03:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".