Loyal-Speakerphone
0xcd9607c4a676b7815f10bb8bc25355414e47cbdc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
144
Open notional
$17.7K
Total PnL
$1.5K
Realised
$817.62
Win rate
71%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 144- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
3022 shares @ 67.3¢·now 72.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.2K
$157.67
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
1960 shares @ 77.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.6K
$121.24
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3670 shares @ 48.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.6K
$-203.81
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1400 shares @ 85.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$69.00
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
758 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$748.25
$88.06
- NO
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
707 shares @ 53.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$541.10
$166.43
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
1202 shares @ 37.4¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$504.68
$54.89
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
520 shares @ 93.6¢·now 94.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$491.25
$4.23
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
505 shares @ 72.9¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$383.80
$15.70
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
472 shares @ 81.8¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$365.89
$-20.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$144.00Jun 13, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$21.80Jun 13, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$109.50Jun 13, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$100.50Jun 13, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$82.00Jun 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$287.75Jun 13, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.91Jun 13, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.77Jun 13, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.15Jun 13, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.11Jun 13, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$109.05Jun 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$88.00Jun 13, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$90.00Jun 13, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$90.00Jun 13, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?$6.30Jun 13, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$14.52Jun 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$138.00Jun 13, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$32.40Jun 13, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$21.60Jun 13, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$1.05Jun 13, 12:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $66.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.