Weekly-Bough
0xcdaad68e09cbe59b825f3186613f02c1e2eafc8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-326.68
Realised
$-29.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
10041 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-173.00
- YES
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $13m?
3390 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-72.99
- YES
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $9m?
2321 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
1490 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 33m?
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 19?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Democratic sweep?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 33m and 35m?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 33m and 35m?$1.00Nov 8, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.02Nov 8, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 33m?$5.00Nov 8, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?$4.68Nov 6, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$6.37Nov 5, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?$1.00Nov 4, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?$0.16Nov 4, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 4, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$2.00Nov 4, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.65Nov 4, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.49Nov 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$5.00Nov 3, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?$3.60Nov 3, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?$5.00Nov 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$5.00Nov 3, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocratic sweep?$5.00Nov 3, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$14.00Nov 3, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.00Nov 3, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$2.98Jul 30, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$173.00Jul 30, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $12.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 11:53 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 13:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".