Colorful-Mansard
0xcdad043712d3b1206823117f21549990f6c58c08
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$-199.62
Realised
$-2.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will anyone say "Killed Kenny" during South Park's prediction market episode?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$10.00
$1.10
- NO
Will anyone say "Trump" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$5.00
$2.65
- NO
Will anyone say "Trade" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$5.00
$2.65
- YES
Will Timmy Burch make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?
195 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-89.47
- YES
Will anyone say "Predict" or "Prediction" 10+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?
107 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-76.25
- YES
Will anyone say "Trump" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?
62 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-31.24
- YES
Will anyone say "Trade" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Broncos" during South Park's prediction market episode?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Trump" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?$2.35Sep 25, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timmy Burch make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$13.64Sep 24, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone say "Trump" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?$21.00Sep 24, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Killed Kenny" during South Park's prediction market episode?$8.90Sep 24, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone say "Trade" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?$7.56Sep 24, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Broncos" during South Park's prediction market episode?$1.50Sep 24, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Randy Marsh make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$5.90Sep 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timmy Burch make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$18.40Sep 24, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timmy Burch make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$3.02Sep 24, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Trade" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?$4.00Sep 24, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timmy Burch make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$43.09Sep 24, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Broncos" during South Park's prediction market episode?$1.00Sep 24, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timmy Burch make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$3.41Sep 24, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Marsh make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$4.50Sep 24, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Trump" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?$4.40Sep 24, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Trade" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?$2.35Sep 24, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timmy Burch make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$7.91Sep 24, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Trump" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?$25.00Sep 24, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Trump" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?$5.94Sep 24, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Trump" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?$21.02Sep 24, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $12.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 19:51 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 25, 02:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".