Merry-Roof
0xcdb7a291f5deed699b5855fb9321e2b51c56968b
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-128.02
Win rate
36%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
209 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-33.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
196 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-58.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
150 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
123 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-35.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
106 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
101 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-25.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
91 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
90 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-27.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$11.75Jun 26, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$5.23Jun 26, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.35Jun 26, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.35Jun 26, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.25Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.45Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.45Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.45Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.45Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.45Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.50Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.45Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.45Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.45Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.45Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.45Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.45Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.45Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.50Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.50Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 55 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
55 closed markets, 36% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.