Knobby-Boat
0xcdbc69eb662396d5a1877b7fe5063c2cb898f38b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
170
Open notional
$692.92
Total PnL
$-33.9K
Realised
$-2.2K
Win rate
26%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 170- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$390.00
$70.00
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
5882 shares @ 3.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$302.92
$100.92
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
1000000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
219943 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.6K
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
183420 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.0K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
159202 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
137704 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
110748 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
103500 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.8K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
98771 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$202.00Jun 6, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$202.49Jun 6, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$354.30Jun 6, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$353.61Jun 6, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.3KJun 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$655.33Jun 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$648.80Jun 6, 08:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $678.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 14:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.