Dirty-Birdwatcher
0xcdc0f64c8de7c3c5ab2a49ff4af4162cee5adcd8
Quality score
94/100
Open positions
37
Open notional
$15.5K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
87%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2356 shares @ 70.6¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.4K
$-307.79
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1500 shares @ 87.2¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.2K
$-80.75
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5979 shares @ 19.8¢·now 18.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$-52.30
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
4777 shares @ 34.5¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.1K
$-525.79
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
1220 shares @ 86.9¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$896.62
$-163.50
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
1000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$875.01
$5.00
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
798 shares @ 87.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$783.84
$85.76
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
955 shares @ 67.1¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$630.00
$-10.54
- NO
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?
691 shares @ 90.5¢·now 86.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$600.63
$-24.79
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
3580 shares @ 36.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$554.88
$-738.65
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.2948m ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$1.3259m ago
- REWARD$0.921h ago
- REWARD$41.321h ago
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$10.814h ago
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$2.015h ago
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$2.015h ago
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$2.015h ago
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$2.015h ago
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$16.077h ago
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$150.008h ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$150.009h ago
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$264.6015h ago
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$188.9816h ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$58.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$216.0518h ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$56.3118h ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$1.1318h ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$112.7718h ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$8.6518h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $51.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 48m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.