Dirty-Birdwatcher
0xcdc0f64c8de7c3c5ab2a49ff4af4162cee5adcd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$20.7K
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$36.66
Win rate
72%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
3071 shares @ 84.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.5K
$-52.77
- YES
France leading at halftime?
3010 shares @ 48.7¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.5K
$25.06
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2000 shares @ 85.7¢·now 73.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.5K
$-240.50
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
6577 shares @ 31.3¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.4K
$-610.43
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2149 shares @ 69.2¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.1K
$-391.82
- YES
Spain leading at halftime?
1500 shares @ 71.7¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.1K
$-9.99
- NO
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
988 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$874.55
$14.82
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$825.01
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$825.00
$-5.00
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
955 shares @ 67.1¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$730.22
$89.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUruguay leading at halftime?$3.62Jun 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$7.04Jun 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$9.85Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$0.99Jun 13, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$4.93Jun 13, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$4.93Jun 13, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$1.96Jun 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?$85.34Jun 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti leading at halftime?$104.95Jun 13, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti leading at halftime?$5.25Jun 13, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustria leading at halftime?$12.98Jun 13, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland leading at halftime?$112.78Jun 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland leading at halftime?$3.52Jun 13, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland leading at halftime?$5.87Jun 13, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland leading at halftime?$16.20Jun 13, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland leading at halftime?$17.61Jun 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland leading at halftime?$23.02Jun 13, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$9.23Jun 13, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland leading at halftime?$5.87Jun 13, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland leading at halftime?$7.04Jun 13, 06:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $28.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.