Boiling-Shape
0xcdc495702d5caabf60301025c5a2dd4c1a66a880
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$65.59
Total PnL
$-60.6K
Realised
$-2.1K
Win rate
43%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- NO
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$20.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$15.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.11
$1.11
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
5 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
16 shares @ 91.9¢·now 28.2¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$4.60
$-10.40
- NO
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
11 shares @ 93.1¢·now 38.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.12
$-5.88
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
756443 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
272484 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-272.48
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
267335 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-267.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$5.01May 11, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$10.07May 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$10.02May 11, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$15.04May 11, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$5.00May 11, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?$3.02May 11, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$5.03May 11, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$5.88May 11, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$6.70May 11, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?$20.24May 11, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.00Apr 23, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?$20.00Apr 22, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$5.00Apr 22, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.00Apr 22, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$6.00Apr 22, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 22, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$5.15Apr 22, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$8.00Apr 22, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$10.07Apr 22, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Adam Walton vs Jakub Mensik$50.00Apr 22, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $8.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".