Alienated-Diction
0xcdc49ece509c71474a5b6c9c3209e7d41f6357f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.77
Total PnL
$-721.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
208 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.77
$-48.23
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
3464 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
2381 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will France win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
733 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
315 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
255 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$51.52May 27, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?$30.30May 27, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$0.00May 26, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$43.10May 26, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$38.46May 26, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?$10.33May 25, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?$10.33May 25, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$20.29May 25, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles$20.29May 25, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$25.73May 25, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$39.06May 25, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$39.68May 25, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$25.91May 25, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$25.65May 25, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$25.63May 25, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$25.68May 24, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?$5.00May 24, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Restructure" in Maine?$5.17May 24, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$5.17May 24, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$5.17May 24, 18:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $10.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 22:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 13:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.