Selfish-Pastoralist
0xcdc8cf4b03f11321ba1790679a0c6683e0436871
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$7.76
Total PnL
$-6.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Toretske by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.05Jan 17, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.06Jan 17, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.12Jan 17, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.52Jan 17, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.00Nov 1, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 1, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.00Nov 1, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by October 3?$1.00Nov 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?$1.01Nov 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$1.01Nov 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.01Nov 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump try to fire another Fed Governor by October 31?$1.01Nov 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Occhiuto win Calabria Regional Election?$1.03Nov 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Afghanistan by October 31?$1.04Nov 1, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 11:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.