Actual-Swordfight
0xcdcb9b8b46654c32269b1adb3619d224fa4d94b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
15/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-748.18
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
324 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-314.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
310 shares @ 94.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-292.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
242 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-230.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
197 shares @ 93.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-184.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
124 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-121.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
38 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-28.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
18 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-16.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.