Aware-Diary
0xcdceb694299f376d30e7f6f76388d2facdc4991d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$2.54
Total PnL
$-44.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 90.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will something else than the listed options occur in respect to Fed Chair confirmation and rates?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
16 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $98,000 on January 29?
3 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 29?
3 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Apr 20, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 30, 00:21 UTC
- MERGEFed rate hike in 2026?$2.00Mar 23, 18:24 UTC
- SPLITFed rate hike in 2026?$2.00Mar 23, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$1.97Mar 23, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$2.00Mar 23, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.95Mar 23, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$2.00Mar 23, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.92Mar 22, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIllinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons$1.94Mar 22, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.98Mar 22, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.00Mar 22, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons$2.00Mar 22, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$2.00Mar 22, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.98Mar 22, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 22, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.90Mar 22, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$6.00Mar 22, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.89Mar 22, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$6.00Mar 22, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 11:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.