0xcdd229c1fb340d283cfe1187c3d88e2f3e3ea035
0xcdd229c1fb340d283cfe1187c3d88e2f3e3ea035
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-285.13
Realised
$5.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
242 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-94.19
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
198 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House
106 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
95 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-38.59
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
91 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
75 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-9.21
- YES
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
74 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-6.69
- YES
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
71 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-12.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$22.00Nov 5, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$22.00Nov 5, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$2.25Nov 4, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 3, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$12.80Nov 3, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$3.00Oct 24, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$10.00Oct 24, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$11.00Oct 24, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$11.00Oct 24, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$15.00Oct 23, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$10.00Oct 23, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House$5.00Oct 23, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$20.00Oct 23, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$19.68Oct 22, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?$15.00Oct 21, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$25.00Oct 21, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMNo Vance vs. Walz debates before election?$0.00Oct 21, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$13.59Oct 21, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEM538 favorite when forecast is turned on? $7.69Aug 25, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWalz and Vance debate on Oct 1?$2.00Aug 17, 04:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 23:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.