Pushy-Graft
0xcdd342531982e1b8a82994a1b83c9df3608b0a8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.05
Total PnL
$-35.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
9 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.05
$-1.44
- YES
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 17?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 17?
373 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 17?
184 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
28 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will Trump say "Mine dropper" this week? (April 5)
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.69Apr 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.75Apr 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$1.12Apr 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.00Apr 13, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$3.08Apr 13, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.43Apr 10, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "National Security" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.05Apr 10, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.10Apr 10, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$3.77Apr 10, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?$10.21Apr 10, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 10?$0.16Apr 10, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$1.92Apr 9, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 10?$1.00Apr 9, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 9, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$2.00Apr 8, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?$10.00Apr 8, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$1.00Apr 8, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$3.00Apr 8, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$3.34Apr 8, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.00Apr 8, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.