Warped-Deputy
0xcdde48a335d65729d2aac43c2cc72fadbdc47d15
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
648 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2024$0.00
$-3.64
- YES
Will Trump say "Retardio" during the X space?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Caroline Ellison sentenced to 60 or more months in prison?
38 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2024$0.00
$-3.40
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
22 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Diddy plead guilty to any charges?$0.00Sep 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy plead guilty to any charges?$19.00Sep 17, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS GDP declines in Q3 2024?$4.10Sep 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?$2.74Sep 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$10.00Sep 17, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCaroline Ellison sentenced to 60 or more months in prison?$3.40Sep 16, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS GDP declines in Q3 2024?$4.50Sep 16, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Retardio" during the X space?$1.00Sep 16, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?$0.90Sep 16, 19:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $5.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 16, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 18, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.