Trivial-Evolution
0xcde0892cd1767b5f2b663c7c2faffe6892631e4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.83
Total PnL
$-7.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.65
$0.02
- NO
Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.38
$0.01
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.26
$0.00
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.24
$0.00
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.16
$0.00
- NO
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?$1.63May 31, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.07May 9, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.24Apr 30, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.16Apr 29, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.07Apr 28, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?$1.37Apr 15, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.37Mar 29, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.26Dec 30, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill AutoSnore: Snoring Recorder be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$1.71Dec 30, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AutoSnore: Snoring Recorder be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$1.11Dec 1, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$2.27Dec 1, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on November 30?$1.05Nov 29, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?$1.03Nov 26, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$1.02Nov 20, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Ackman say "Trump" 4+ times during the X Space event on November 18?$1.13Nov 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.52Nov 15, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.11Nov 15, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$24.63Nov 15, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.00Nov 15, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$15.31Nov 15, 07:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 03:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 03:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.