Sudden-Constitution
0xcdebfa00a72cbffad03ee34253872f159fd64d84
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-385.99
Realised
$-0.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
4257 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-46.65
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
2618 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.47
- YES
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-01-13?
1364 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 13?
1060 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-11-13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- MOUSE
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs mouse (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffs
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Armenia end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- MONTE
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winner
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
513 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$3.11May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$7.86May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.15May 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.17May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$19.76Mar 23, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$19.77Mar 23, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$13.99Mar 23, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$13.98Mar 23, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$7.81Mar 23, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$2.00Mar 23, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$10.00Mar 23, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$5.48Feb 20, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$5.00Feb 19, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bad Luck (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage$26.84Feb 10, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs$1.00Feb 10, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Passion UA vs mouse (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffs$1.00Feb 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs$1.00Feb 10, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?$29.84Feb 9, 19:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $17.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".