Runny-Smuggling
0xcded65e14d21a064bc36a09392770e2740af8855
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$242.00
Total PnL
$-145.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
242 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$242.00
$3.22
- NO
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-83.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
25 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
- DOWN
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 2?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- DOWN
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2?
18 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-17.17
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- DOWN
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 2?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$18.97Mar 2, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$22.61Mar 2, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 2?$4.50Mar 2, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2?$17.17Mar 2, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 2?$16.00Mar 2, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?$22.50Mar 2, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on February 13?$0.00Mar 2, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $670 on February 13?$0.00Mar 2, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on February 13?$0.00Mar 2, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on February 13?$0.00Mar 2, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?$0.00Mar 2, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMApple (AAPL) Up or Down on February 13?$0.00Mar 2, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $200?$0.00Mar 2, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on February 13?$0.00Mar 2, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 13?$0.00Mar 2, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on February 13?$0.00Mar 2, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $175?$0.00Mar 2, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$49.45Mar 2, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 13?$0.00Mar 2, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$49.25Mar 2, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $26.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 13:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.