False-Referendum
0xcdee0c2a8fbe2d1c7b36e4d58c36baaefccc6297
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-234.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
279 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.79
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 11?
277 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.32
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 8PM ET
277 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.11
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 18?
276 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 23?
274 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.31
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 19?
273 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 3?
271 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-4.87
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?
270 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 2?
264 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.69
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
255 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?$70.91Jun 4, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?$68.57Jun 1, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?$2.74May 31, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28?$1.86May 27, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 28?$1.20May 27, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$68.21May 20, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$65.07May 19, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 17?$1.91May 17, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?$1.72May 9, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 21?$70.26May 9, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 15?$0.00Apr 30, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 21?$67.52Apr 21, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 Week of April 13 2026?$69.11Apr 21, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 Week of April 13 2026?$66.00Apr 17, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,150 on April 5?$62.86Apr 14, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $196 Week of April 6 2026?$2.80Apr 10, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,150 on April 5?$61.10Apr 6, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 29?$59.96Apr 6, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.60 on November 16?$0.00Mar 31, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 31?$1.97Mar 30, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $29.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 17:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".