Equal-Drop
0xcdef10408933edd346d784bf468949d15bc75312
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
160
Open notional
$31.72
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$62.39
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 160- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
21 shares @ 25.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.83
$14.68
- YES
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.94
$-2.06
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
39 shares @ 17.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.95
$-3.84
- YES
Will Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?
28 shares @ 17.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.99
$-4.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 22?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
443 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-49.88
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
363 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-24.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
334 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
329 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-140.31
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" in Corpus Christi on Friday?
283 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-24.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$5.30May 13, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$0.90May 13, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.26May 13, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$7.07May 13, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$9.88May 13, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$5.27May 13, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$7.53May 13, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$5.24May 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.33May 13, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?$5.16May 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)$10.10Mar 21, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)$26.00Mar 21, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)$13.00Mar 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$13.44Mar 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$9.00Mar 21, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$9.67Mar 21, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$7.00Mar 21, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)$12.36Mar 21, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)$15.00Mar 21, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)$10.00Mar 21, 18:27 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 22:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".