Simplistic-Jellyfish
0xcdf82242c9984bd8d274085ab54165633c54b8ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$137.0K
Total PnL
$2.6K
Realised
$461.88
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
12000 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$12.0K
$349.91
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
9947 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.8K
$350.61
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
10000 shares @ 91.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.3K
$130.77
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
10000 shares @ 92.4¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.3K
$23.02
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 91.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.1K
$-7.71
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
10000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.1K
$550.00
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
10000 shares @ 87.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.0K
$303.02
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
9000 shares @ 93.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.1K
$-303.22
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
10000 shares @ 80.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.0K
$30.01
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
6000 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.0K
$27.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$19.63Jun 13, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x India military clash by December 31, 2026?$5.46Jun 13, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$6.44Jun 13, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00Jun 13, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.96Jun 13, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$0.14Jun 13, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$2.88Jun 13, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.3KJun 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$174.00Jun 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?$549.47Jun 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola pandemic in 2026?$576.37Jun 13, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$652.16Jun 13, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$645.56Jun 13, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$1.80Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$556.81Jun 12, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$556.39Jun 12, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$39.77Jun 12, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?$43.55Jun 12, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$546.86Jun 12, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$550.05Jun 12, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $328.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 03:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.