Complex-Wiseguy
0xcdfa4b7d4fbe2eb80717a7f2ee101fa6844b0e8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$32.03
Total PnL
$0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 9?$32.00Apr 8, 14:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Mar 28, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$592.22Mar 27, 23:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 27, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or below on March 26?$115.23Mar 26, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$592.83Mar 26, 10:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 26, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$746.46Mar 25, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or below on March 26?$115.00Mar 25, 11:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Mar 25, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 24, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$747.22Mar 23, 15:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 23, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$757.43Mar 22, 08:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 22, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$758.19Mar 21, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$471.24Mar 21, 01:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 21, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 20, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$471.72Mar 19, 08:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $429.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 05:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 14:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.