Unrealistic-Tandem
0xcdfd0f1be206e981e72be6a2f2f2bd8563345bdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-252.94
Realised
$-0.54
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C or below on April 7?
4948 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 10°C or below on April 7?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on April 7?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 7?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 9?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on April 7?
2131 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 6?
714 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 6?
167 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 9?
114 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 27°C or below on April 7?
88 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$5.00Jun 28, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$3.23Jun 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$4.10Jun 26, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$3.86Jun 26, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$3.00Jun 4, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.83Jun 4, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$3.00Jun 4, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$2.40Jun 4, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.60Jun 4, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$4.83Jun 4, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$2.38Jun 4, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.61Jun 4, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$2.74Jun 4, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$4.79Jun 4, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$3.00Jun 4, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$3.00Jun 4, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.53Jun 4, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.96Jun 4, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.07Jun 4, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.93Jun 4, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 07:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.